| Title | An Antarctic assessment of IPCC AR4 coupled models |
| Author | Connolley, W.M.; Bracegirdle, T.J. |
| Author Affil | Connolley, W.M., British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom |
| Source | Geophysical Research Letters, 34(22), L22505. Publisher: American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, United States. ISSN: 0094-8276 |
| Publication Date | Nov. 28, 2007 |
| Notes | In English. 20 refs. GeoRef Acc. No: 284203. CRREL Acc. No: 62004616 |
| Index Terms | ice; models; temperature; Antarctica; atmosphere; circulation; general circulation models; sea ice |
| Abstract | We assess 19 coupled models from the IPCC fourth assessment report archive from the simulation of the 20th century, based on the calculation of "skill scores". The models show a wide range of scores when assessed against Antarctic or global measures of large- scale circulation indices. Except for continental mass balance, the model average proves a more reliable estimate than that for any one model. Individual models show a very wide scatter in simulated Antarctic temperature trends over the past century. (mod. journ. abst.) |
| URL | http://hdl.handle.net/10.1029/2007GL031648 |
| Publication Type | journal article |
| Record ID | 84007 |